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Data X:
9 24 14 11 12 24 26 9 25 11 7 8 25 23 9 17 6 17 8 30 25 9 18 12 10 8 19 23 9 18 8 12 9 22 19 9 16 10 12 7 22 29 10 20 10 11 4 25 25 10 16 11 11 11 23 21 10 18 16 12 7 17 22 10 17 11 13 7 21 25 10 23 13 14 12 19 24 10 30 12 16 10 19 18 10 23 8 11 10 15 22 10 18 12 10 8 16 15 10 15 11 11 8 23 22 10 12 4 15 4 27 28 10 21 9 9 9 22 20 10 15 8 11 8 14 12 10 20 8 17 7 22 24 10 31 14 17 11 23 20 10 27 15 11 9 23 21 10 34 16 18 11 21 20 10 21 9 14 13 19 21 10 31 14 10 8 18 23 10 19 11 11 8 20 28 10 16 8 15 9 23 24 10 20 9 15 6 25 24 10 21 9 13 9 19 24 10 22 9 16 9 24 23 10 17 9 13 6 22 23 10 24 10 9 6 25 29 10 25 16 18 16 26 24 10 26 11 18 5 29 18 10 25 8 12 7 32 25 10 17 9 17 9 25 21 10 32 16 9 6 29 26 10 33 11 9 6 28 22 10 13 16 12 5 17 22 10 32 12 18 12 28 22 10 25 12 12 7 29 23 10 29 14 18 10 26 30 10 22 9 14 9 25 23 10 18 10 15 8 14 17 10 17 9 16 5 25 23 10 20 10 10 8 26 23 10 15 12 11 8 20 25 10 20 14 14 10 18 24 10 33 14 9 6 32 24 10 29 10 12 8 25 23 10 23 14 17 7 25 21 10 26 16 5 4 23 24 10 18 9 12 8 21 24 10 20 10 12 8 20 28 10 11 6 6 4 15 16 10 28 8 24 20 30 20 10 26 13 12 8 24 29 10 22 10 12 8 26 27 10 17 8 14 6 24 22 10 12 7 7 4 22 28 10 14 15 13 8 14 16 10 17 9 12 9 24 25 10 21 10 13 6 24 24 10 19 12 14 7 24 28 10 18 13 8 9 24 24 10 10 10 11 5 19 23 10 29 11 9 5 31 30 10 31 8 11 8 22 24 10 19 9 13 8 27 21 10 9 13 10 6 19 25 10 20 11 11 8 25 25 10 28 8 12 7 20 22 10 19 9 9 7 21 23 10 30 9 15 9 27 26 10 29 15 18 11 23 23 10 26 9 15 6 25 25 10 23 10 12 8 20 21 10 13 14 13 6 21 25 10 21 12 14 9 22 24 10 19 12 10 8 23 29 10 28 11 13 6 25 22 10 23 14 13 10 25 27 10 18 6 11 8 17 26 10 21 12 13 8 19 22 10 20 8 16 10 25 24 10 23 14 8 5 19 27 10 21 11 16 7 20 24 10 21 10 11 5 26 24 10 15 14 9 8 23 29 10 28 12 16 14 27 22 10 19 10 12 7 17 21 10 26 14 14 8 17 24 10 10 5 8 6 19 24 10 16 11 9 5 17 23 10 22 10 15 6 22 20 10 19 9 11 10 21 27 10 31 10 21 12 32 26 10 31 16 14 9 21 25 10 29 13 18 12 21 21 10 19 9 12 7 18 21 10 22 10 13 8 18 19 10 23 10 15 10 23 21 10 15 7 12 6 19 21 10 20 9 19 10 20 16 10 18 8 15 10 21 22 10 23 14 11 10 20 29 10 25 14 11 5 17 15 10 21 8 10 7 18 17 10 24 9 13 10 19 15 10 25 14 15 11 22 21 10 17 14 12 6 15 21 10 13 8 12 7 14 19 10 28 8 16 12 18 24 10 21 8 9 11 24 20 10 25 7 18 11 35 17 10 9 6 8 11 29 23 10 16 8 13 5 21 24 10 19 6 17 8 25 14 10 17 11 9 6 20 19 10 25 14 15 9 22 24 10 20 11 8 4 13 13 10 29 11 7 4 26 22 10 14 11 12 7 17 16 10 22 14 14 11 25 19 10 15 8 6 6 20 25 10 19 20 8 7 19 25 10 20 11 17 8 21 23 10 15 8 10 4 22 24 10 20 11 11 8 24 26 10 18 10 14 9 21 26 10 33 14 11 8 26 25 10 22 11 13 11 24 18 10 16 9 12 8 16 21 10 17 9 11 5 23 26 10 16 8 9 4 18 23 10 21 10 12 8 16 23 10 26 13 20 10 26 22 10 18 13 12 6 19 20 10 18 12 13 9 21 13 10 17 8 12 9 21 24 10 22 13 12 13 22 15 10 30 14 9 9 23 14 10 30 12 15 10 29 22 10 24 14 24 20 21 10 10 21 15 7 5 21 24 10 21 13 17 11 23 22 10 29 16 11 6 27 24 10 31 9 17 9 25 19 10 20 9 11 7 21 20 10 16 9 12 9 10 13 10 22 8 14 10 20 20 10 20 7 11 9 26 22 10 28 16 16 8 24 24 10 38 11 21 7 29 29 10 22 9 14 6 19 12 10 20 11 20 13 24 20 10 17 9 13 6 19 21 10 28 14 11 8 24 24 10 22 13 15 10 22 22 10 31 16 19 16 17 20
Names of X columns:
month concern doubts expectations criticism standard organisation
Sample Range:
(leave blank to include all observations)
From:
To:
Column Number of Endogenous Series
(?)
Fixed Seasonal Effects
2
Do not include Seasonal Dummies
Include Seasonal Dummies
Type of Equation
Pearson Chi-Squared
No Linear Trend
Linear Trend
First Differences
Seasonal Differences (s)
First and Seasonal Differences (s)
Degree of Predetermination (lagged endogenous variables)
Degree of Seasonal Predetermination
Seasonality
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Chart options
R Code
library(lattice) library(lmtest) n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test par1 <- as.numeric(par1) x <- t(y) k <- length(x[1,]) n <- length(x[,1]) x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] x <- x1 if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n-1) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 } if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) for (i in 1:11){ x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) for (i in 1:3){ x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } k <- length(x[1,]) if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' } x k <- length(x[1,]) df <- as.data.frame(x) (mylm <- lm(df)) (mysum <- summary(mylm)) if (n > n25) { kp3 <- k + 3 nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) numgqtests <- 0 numsignificant1 <- 0 numsignificant5 <- 0 numsignificant10 <- 0 for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { j <- 0 numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { j <- j + 1 gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value } if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 } gqarr } bitmap(file='test0.png') plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test1.png') plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test2.png') hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') dev.off() bitmap(file='test4.png') qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') qqline(mysum$resid) grid() dev.off() (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) bitmap(file='test5.png') dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) dum dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] dum1 z <- as.data.frame(dum1) z plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') lines(lowess(z)) abline(lm(z)) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test6.png') acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test7.png') pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test8.png') opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') par(opar) dev.off() if (n > n25) { bitmap(file='test9.png') plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') grid() dev.off() } load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) myeq <- colnames(x)[1] myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') for (i in 1:k){ if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') } } myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, myeq) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:k){ a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:n) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a,x[i]) a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab') if (n > n25) { a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab') }
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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input
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Raw Output
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Computing time
1 seconds
R Server
Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
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