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Data X:
10 70.3 582 6 7.05 36 13 61 132 8.2 48.52 100 12 56.7 716 8.7 20.66 67 17 51.9 515 9 12.95 86 56 49.1 158 9 43.37 127 36 54 80 9 40.25 114 29 57.3 757 9.3 38.89 111 14 68.4 529 8.8 54.47 116 10 75.5 335 9 59.8 128 24 61.5 497 9.1 48.34 115 110 50.6 3369 10.4 34.44 122 28 52.3 746 9.7 38.74 121 17 49 201 11.2 30.85 103 8 56.6 277 12.7 30.58 82 30 55.6 593 8.3 43.11 123 9 68.3 361 8.4 56.77 113 47 55 905 9.6 41.31 111 35 49.9 1513 10.1 30.96 129 29 43.5 744 10.6 25.94 137 14 54.5 507 10 37 99 56 55.9 622 9.5 35.89 105 14 51.5 347 10.9 30.18 98 11 56.8 244 8.9 7.77 58 46 47.6 116 8.8 33.36 135 11 47.1 463 12.4 36.11 166 23 54 453 7.1 39.04 132 65 49.7 751 10.9 34.99 155 26 51.5 540 8.6 37.01 134 69 54.6 1950 9.6 39.93 115 61 50.4 520 9.4 36.22 147 94 50 179 10.6 42.75 125 10 61.6 624 9.2 49.1 105 18 59.4 448 7.9 46 119 9 66.2 844 10.9 35.94 78 10 68.9 1233 10.8 48.19 103 28 51 176 8.7 15.17 89 31 59.3 308 10.6 44.68 116 26 57.8 299 7.6 42.59 115 29 51.1 531 9.4 38.79 164 31 55.2 71 6.5 40.75 148 16 45.7 717 11.8 29.07 123
Names of X columns:
SO2 Temp Pop Wind Rain RainDays
Sample Range:
(leave blank to include all observations)
From:
To:
Column Number of Endogenous Series
(?)
Fixed Seasonal Effects
Do not include Seasonal Dummies
Do not include Seasonal Dummies
Include Seasonal Dummies
Type of Equation
No Linear Trend
No Linear Trend
Linear Trend
First Differences
Seasonal Differences (s)
First and Seasonal Differences (s)
Degree of Predetermination (lagged endogenous variables)
Degree of Seasonal Predetermination
Seasonality
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Chart options
R Code
par5 <- '0' par4 <- '0' par3 <- 'No Linear Trend' par2 <- 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' par1 <- '1' library(lattice) library(lmtest) n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test mywarning <- '' par1 <- as.numeric(par1) if(is.na(par1)) { par1 <- 1 mywarning = 'Warning: you did not specify the column number of the endogenous series! The first column was selected by default.' } if (par4=='') par4 <- 0 par4 <- as.numeric(par4) if (par5=='') par5 <- 0 par5 <- as.numeric(par5) x <- na.omit(t(y)) k <- length(x[1,]) n <- length(x[,1]) x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] x <- x1 if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n-1) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 } if(par4 > 0) { x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-par4,par4), dimnames=list(1:(n-par4), paste(colnames(x)[par1],'(t-',1:par4,')',sep=''))) for (i in 1:(n-par4)) { for (j in 1:par4) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+par4-j,par1] } } x <- cbind(x[(par4+1):n,], x2) n <- n - par4 } if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) for (i in 1:11){ x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) for (i in 1:3){ x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } k <- length(x[1+par4,]) if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' } x k <- length(x[1+par4,]) df <- as.data.frame(x) (mylm <- lm(df)) (mysum <- summary(mylm)) if (n > n25) { kp3 <- k + 3 nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) numgqtests <- 0 numsignificant1 <- 0 numsignificant5 <- 0 numsignificant10 <- 0 for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { j <- 0 numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { j <- j + 1 gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value } if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 } gqarr } bitmap(file='test0.png') plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test1.png') plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test2.png') hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') dev.off() bitmap(file='test4.png') qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') qqline(mysum$resid) grid() dev.off() (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) bitmap(file='test5.png') dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) dum dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] dum1 z <- as.data.frame(dum1) z plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') lines(lowess(z)) abline(lm(z)) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test6.png') acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test7.png') pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test8.png') opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') par(opar) dev.off() if (n > n25) { bitmap(file='test9.png') plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') grid() dev.off() } load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) myeq <- colnames(x)[1] myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') for (i in 1:k){ if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') myeq <- paste(myeq, signif(mysum$coefficients[i,1],6), sep=' ') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') } } myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, myeq) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, mywarning) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:k){ a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,1],5),format='g',flag='+')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,2],5),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4),format='e',flag='+')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,4],4),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,4),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(sqrt(mysum$r.squared),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$r.squared,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$adj.r.squared,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$fstatistic[1],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, signif(mysum$fstatistic[2],6)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, signif(mysum$fstatistic[3],6)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$sigma,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(sum(myerror*myerror),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab') if(n < 200) { a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:n) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(x[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(x[i]-mysum$resid[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$resid[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab') if (n > n25) { a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant1,6)) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(numsignificant1/numgqtests,6),format='g',flag=' ')) if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant5,6)) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant5/numgqtests,6)) if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant10,6)) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant10/numgqtests,6)) if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab') } }
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Raw Input
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Raw Output
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Computing time
0 seconds
R Server
Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
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