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Data X:
345.83 383.68 409.49 440.46 476.59 492.08 498.96 526.49 533.37 584.99 619.4 641.76 693.38 715.75 762.2 789.73 820.7 867.16 951.46 1.025.45 1.066.74 1.070.18 1.176.85 1.276.64 1.364.39 1.467.63 1.545.06 1.591.50 1.720.55 1.794.86 1.874.89 2.016.30 2.238.32 2.375.95 2.520.79 2.668.38 2.919.83 3.019.64 3.216.00 3.337.00 3.611.59 3.895.50 4.120.54 4.357.24 4.549.72 4.703.99 5.125.32 5.622.38 6.141.51 6.665.11 6.630.40 6.399.24 6.617.50 6.762.27 6.554.07 6.666.96 6.752.51 7.029.74 7.393.58 7.705.20 7.978.05 8.132.92 8.517.39 8.026.90 8.498.46 9.090.20 9.517.60 9.771.44 10.288.98 10.226.68 10.240.17 10.385.86 10.832.00 11.160.49 11.718.67 12.087.60 12.256.86 11.680.75 12.277.66 12.774.24 13.287.53 13.468.25 13.773.36 14.135.51 14.460.97
Data Y:
1.119 1.351 1.610 1.817 1.981 2.191 2.219 2.197 2.276 2.274 2.354 2.491 2.506 2.751 2.925 3.168 3.526 3.950 4.187 4.617 5.048 6.092 6.489 7.563 8.529 8.888 9.540 10.204 11.371 12.357 13.248 14.249 15.892 17.357 18.963 20.788 22.922 25.727 28.794 31.542 34.767 37.489 40.766 43.710 46.682 50.720 55.952 60.014 62851 61.480 69.806 71.509 75.991 82.500 85.267 91.792 105.098 113.091 117.664 121.974 125.559 130.762 140.619 141.891 152.299 163.094 173.198 182.331 194.436 198.213 202.675 208.234 214.855 224.694 232.658 240.445 244.142 243.774 253.460 269.831 275.034 275.497 280.160 288.225 298.824
Box-Cox transformation parameter (X series)
1
1
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
Degree (d) of non-seasonal differencing (X series)
0
0
1
2
Degree (D) of seasonal differencing (X series)
0
0
1
2
Seasonal Period
1
1
2
3
4
12
Box-Cox transformation parameter (Y series)
1
1
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
Degree (d) of non-seasonal differencing (Y series)
0
0
1
2
Degree (D) of seasonal differencing (Y series)
0
0
1
2
Number of non-seasonal time lags in test
1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Chart options
Label y-axis:
Label x-axis:
R Code
library(lmtest) par1 <- as.numeric(par1) par2 <- as.numeric(par2) par3 <- as.numeric(par3) par4 <- as.numeric(par4) par5 <- as.numeric(par5) par6 <- as.numeric(par6) par7 <- as.numeric(par7) par8 <- as.numeric(par8) ox <- x oy <- y if (par1 == 0) { x <- log(x) } else { x <- (x ^ par1 - 1) / par1 } if (par5 == 0) { y <- log(y) } else { y <- (y ^ par5 - 1) / par5 } if (par2 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par2) if (par6 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=1,difference=par6) if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par4,difference=par3) if (par7 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=par4,difference=par7) print(x) print(y) (gyx <- grangertest(y ~ x, order=par8)) (gxy <- grangertest(x ~ y, order=par8)) bitmap(file='test1.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) (r <- ccf(ox,oy,main='Cross Correlation Function (raw data)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) (r <- ccf(x,y,main='Cross Correlation Function (transformed and differenced)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test2.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) acf(ox,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (raw)') acf(x,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (transformed and differenced)') par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) acf(oy,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (raw)') acf(y,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (transformed and differenced)') par(op) dev.off() load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)',5,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[1]) a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$F[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Pr[2]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)',5,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[1]) a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$F[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Pr[2]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
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Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
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