Send output to:
Browser Blue - Charts White
Browser Black/White
CSV
Data:
4716.99 4926.65 4920.10 5170.09 5246.24 5283.61 4979.05 4825.20 4695.12 4711.54 4727.22 4384.96 4378.75 4472.93 4564.07 4310.54 4171.38 4049.38 3591.37 3720.46 4107.23 4101.71 4162.34 4136.22 4125.88 4031.48 3761.36 3408.56 3228.47 3090.45 2741.14 2980.44 3104.33 3181.57 2863.86 2898.01 3112.33 3254.33 3513.47 3587.61 3727.45 3793.34 3817.58 3845.13 3931.86 4197.52 4307.13 4229.43 4362.28 4217.34 4361.28 4327.74 4417.65 4557.68 4650.35 4967.18 5123.42 5290.85 5535.66 5514.06 5493.88 5694.83 5850.41 6116.64 6175.00 6513.58 6383.78 6673.66 6936.61 7300.68 7392.93 7497.31 7584.71 7160.79 7196.19 7245.63 7347.51 7425.75 7778.51 7822.33 8181.22 8371.47 8347.71 8672.11 8802.79 9138.46 9123.29 9023.21 8850.41 8864.58 9163.74 8516.66 8553.44 7555.20 7851.22 7442.00 7992.53 8264.04 7517.39 7200.40 7193.69 6193.58 5104.21 4800.46 4461.61 4398.59 4243.63 4293.82
Seasonal period
FALSE
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Number of Forecasts
0.2
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Algorithm
1
BFGS
L-BFGS-B
Chart options
R Code
par1 <- as.numeric(par1) nx <- length(x) x <- ts(x,frequency=par1) m <- StructTS(x,type='BSM') m$coef m$fitted m$resid mylevel <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'level']) myslope <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'slope']) myseas <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'sea']) myresid <- as.numeric(m$resid) myfit <- mylevel+myseas mylagmax <- nx/2 bitmap(file='test2.png') op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2)) acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed') acf(mylevel,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Level') acf(myseas,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal') acf(myresid,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Standardized Residals') par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2)) spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed') spectrum(mylevel,main='Level') spectrum(myseas,main='Seasonal') spectrum(myresid,main='Standardized Residals') par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test4.png') op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2)) cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed') cpgram(mylevel,main='Level') cpgram(myseas,main='Seasonal') cpgram(myresid,main='Standardized Residals') par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test1.png') plot(as.numeric(m$resid),main='Standardized Residuals',ylab='Residuals',xlab='time',type='b') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test5.png') op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2)) hist(m$resid,main='Residual Histogram') plot(density(m$resid),main='Residual Kernel Density') qqnorm(m$resid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot') qqline(m$resid) plot(m$resid^2, myfit^2,main='Sq.Resid vs. Sq.Fit',xlab='Squared residuals',ylab='Squared Fit') par(op) dev.off() load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Structural Time Series Model',6,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Slope',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Stand. Residuals',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:nx) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,x[i]) a<-table.element(a,mylevel[i]) a<-table.element(a,myslope[i]) a<-table.element(a,myseas[i]) a<-table.element(a,myresid[i]) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
Compute
Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input
view raw input (R code)
Raw Output
view raw output of R engine
Computing time
0 seconds
R Server
Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
Click here to blog (archive) this computation