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Data X:
277267 285531 286602 283042 276687 277915 277128 277103 275037 270150 267140 264993 287259 291186 292300 288186 281477 282656 280190 280408 276836 275216 274352 271311 289802 290726 292300 278506 269826 265861 269034 264176 255198 253353 246057 235372 258556 260993 254663 250643 243422 247105 248541 245039 237080 237085 225554 226839 247934 248333 246969 245098 246263 255765 264319 268347 273046 273963 267430 271993 292710 295881 293299
Data Y:
593530 610943 612613 611324 594167 595454 590865 589379 584428 573100 567456 569028 620735 628884 628232 612117 595404 597141 593408 590072 579799 574205 572775 572942 619567 625809 619916 587625 565742 557274 560576 548854 531673 525919 511038 498662 555362 564591 541657 527070 509846 514258 516922 507561 492622 490243 469357 477580 528379 533590 517945 506174 501866 516141 528222 532638 536322 536535 523597 536214 586570 596594 580523
Box-Cox transformation parameter (X series)
1
1
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
Degree (d) of non-seasonal differencing (X series)
1
0
1
2
Degree (D) of seasonal differencing (X series)
1
0
1
2
Seasonal Period
12
1
2
3
4
12
Box-Cox transformation parameter (Y series)
1
1
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
Degree (d) of non-seasonal differencing (Y series)
1
0
1
2
Degree (D) of seasonal differencing (Y series)
1
0
1
2
Number of non-seasonal time lags in test
3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Chart options
Label y-axis:
Label x-axis:
R Code
library(lmtest) par1 <- as.numeric(par1) par2 <- as.numeric(par2) par3 <- as.numeric(par3) par4 <- as.numeric(par4) par5 <- as.numeric(par5) par6 <- as.numeric(par6) par7 <- as.numeric(par7) par8 <- as.numeric(par8) ox <- x oy <- y if (par1 == 0) { x <- log(x) } else { x <- (x ^ par1 - 1) / par1 } if (par5 == 0) { y <- log(y) } else { y <- (y ^ par5 - 1) / par5 } if (par2 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par2) if (par6 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=1,difference=par6) if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par4,difference=par3) if (par7 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=par4,difference=par7) x y (gyx <- grangertest(y ~ x, order=par8)) (gxy <- grangertest(x ~ y, order=par8)) bitmap(file='test1.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) (r <- ccf(ox,oy,main='Cross Correlation Function (raw data)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) (r <- ccf(x,y,main='Cross Correlation Function (transformed and differenced)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test2.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) acf(ox,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (raw)') acf(x,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (transformed and differenced)') par(op) dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) acf(oy,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (raw)') acf(y,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (transformed and differenced)') par(op) dev.off() load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)',5,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[1]) a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$F[2]) a<-table.element(a,gyx$Pr[2]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)',5,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[1]) a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.element(a,'') a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Df[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$F[2]) a<-table.element(a,gxy$Pr[2]) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
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Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
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