Summary of computational transaction | |
Raw Input | view raw input (R code) |
Raw Output | view raw output of R engine |
Computing time | 1 seconds |
R Server | Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center |
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.972448439054055 |
beta | 0.0651879070466909 |
gamma | 0.746729979627399 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 465 | 598.841346153846 | -133.841346153846 |
14 | 426 | 427.057687387911 | -1.0576873879109 |
15 | 384 | 381.20724153046 | 2.79275846953982 |
16 | 379 | 370.944860608865 | 8.05513939113467 |
17 | 381 | 364.768837550719 | 16.2311624492806 |
18 | 380 | 361.530832563602 | 18.4691674363975 |
19 | 351 | 437.348300583388 | -86.3483005833878 |
20 | 346 | 319.38740446655 | 26.6125955334498 |
21 | 339 | 337.628844540714 | 1.371155459286 |
22 | 336 | 184.911205735496 | 151.088794264504 |
23 | 333 | 259.072386900193 | 73.927613099807 |
24 | 324 | 319.384708149638 | 4.61529185036153 |
25 | 324 | 326.583347633019 | -2.583347633019 |
26 | 321 | 298.686681408879 | 22.3133185911205 |
27 | 304 | 290.63760524724 | 13.3623947527595 |
28 | 343 | 306.426999695684 | 36.5730003043158 |
29 | 407 | 345.624219845033 | 61.3757801549669 |
30 | 389 | 406.667757603906 | -17.6677576039059 |
31 | 361 | 463.231357474279 | -102.231357474279 |
32 | 353 | 349.186058707009 | 3.81394129299053 |
33 | 361 | 360.329468422363 | 0.670531577637178 |
34 | 387 | 225.558114524352 | 161.441885475648 |
35 | 692 | 324.403341714824 | 367.596658285176 |
36 | 704 | 703.687577729366 | 0.31242227063376 |
37 | 742 | 741.100942183417 | 0.899057816583081 |
38 | 721 | 751.870850931483 | -30.8708509314827 |
39 | 843 | 723.315216968824 | 119.684783031176 |
40 | 847 | 881.111610369959 | -34.111610369959 |
41 | 945 | 885.737576110281 | 59.2624238897188 |
42 | 946 | 976.621408986531 | -30.6214089865315 |
43 | 946 | 1051.54895219416 | -105.548952194158 |
44 | 945 | 968.949363229293 | -23.9493632292928 |
45 | 1082 | 983.759920130717 | 98.2400798692831 |
46 | 1075 | 984.092880381738 | 90.9071196182623 |
47 | 820 | 1051.03201176764 | -231.032011767637 |
48 | 832 | 835.120171937197 | -3.12017193719703 |
49 | 851 | 863.485776372326 | -12.4857763723262 |
50 | 1090 | 854.015705244038 | 235.984294755962 |
51 | 1203 | 1098.4065598651 | 104.593440134902 |
52 | 1239 | 1247.75274082412 | -8.7527408241217 |
53 | 1535 | 1289.95696615988 | 245.043033840122 |
54 | 1527 | 1582.42764176639 | -55.427641766385 |
55 | 1480 | 1652.89237188297 | -172.892371882967 |
56 | 1452 | 1523.41604587513 | -71.4160458751298 |
57 | 1383 | 1508.50504393859 | -125.505043938592 |
58 | 1381 | 1290.84638763246 | 90.1536123675392 |
59 | 1429 | 1350.12141152128 | 78.8785884787169 |
60 | 1376 | 1459.6085067455 | -83.6085067454967 |
61 | 1602 | 1423.74625883425 | 178.253741165747 |
62 | 1597 | 1631.19937532066 | -34.1993753206605 |
63 | 2003 | 1619.34683503134 | 383.653164968659 |
64 | 1958 | 2064.62186675385 | -106.621866753849 |
65 | 1997 | 2037.56038568497 | -40.5603856849671 |
66 | 1986 | 2048.69525362654 | -62.6952536265408 |
67 | 2129 | 2111.79577703464 | 17.2042229653571 |
68 | 2115 | 2183.43673986881 | -68.4367398688082 |
69 | 2297 | 2184.66944002171 | 112.330559978286 |
70 | 2250 | 2232.1666458201 | 17.8333541799011 |
71 | 2309 | 2245.73359338986 | 63.2664066101388 |
72 | 2648 | 2360.55763393387 | 287.442366066128 |
73 | 2627 | 2738.29421082746 | -111.294210827462 |
74 | 2711 | 2688.83450406193 | 22.1654959380662 |
75 | 2732 | 2772.99224228435 | -40.9922422843515 |
76 | 2825 | 2800.91735585442 | 24.0826441455838 |
77 | 2932 | 2916.28655396746 | 15.7134460325428 |
78 | 2910 | 2999.22489286581 | -89.2248928658109 |
79 | 2969 | 3054.02422888183 | -85.0242288818263 |
80 | 2999 | 3033.86459966955 | -34.8645996695459 |
81 | 2965 | 3082.96495334929 | -117.964953349292 |
82 | 2846 | 2901.4700843197 | -55.4700843197006 |
83 | 2847 | 2836.94367838674 | 10.0563216132564 |
84 | 2751 | 2893.5184093159 | -142.5184093159 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
85 | 2806.56349585787 | 2586.10600545056 | 3027.02098626518 |
86 | 2836.75919527386 | 2519.34900811621 | 3154.1693824315 |
87 | 2865.33941967837 | 2465.99623323892 | 3264.68260611783 |
88 | 2904.34144233821 | 2429.82128549948 | 3378.86159917693 |
89 | 2964.46792626507 | 2418.36991654484 | 3510.56593598531 |
90 | 2997.31928714772 | 2381.66795342454 | 3612.97062087091 |
91 | 3111.98028219989 | 2427.89653150301 | 3796.06403289677 |
92 | 3153.93276876137 | 2401.97154022988 | 3905.89399729285 |
93 | 3215.83608309015 | 2396.17608547321 | 4035.49608070709 |
94 | 3138.42841837354 | 2250.98734503906 | 4025.86949170801 |
95 | 3120.79490131633 | 2165.30353908716 | 4076.28626354551 |
96 | 3155.41686040399 | 2131.46892281584 | 4179.36479799213 |
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