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Data X:
31.4634 129.6279 97.2191 57..9818 70.7215 69.1826 90.7294 73.9478 33.4029 48.0331 40.2396 19.4649 75.2050 35.8983 31.4425 155.4380 95.3040 31.9262 17.7969 267.1767 -55.0592 7.5662 18.1915 -19.1174 -3.0576 29.5415 4.8848 54.5195 12.8042 24.1364 42.2338 46.8413 -4.5791 13.0451 14.3114 0.1426 3.7026 24.5126 22.6488 13.9424 -4.0856 13.8929 20.3887 1.2409 10.0116 13.8121 18.2415 2.1867 0.7435 11.6520 13.4876 14.2157 14.1275 13.7487 12.0955 33.3494
Names of X columns:
Tržišna kapitalizacija Neto imovina Obveznice Dionice
Sample Range:
(leave blank to include all observations)
From:
To:
Column Number of Endogenous Series
(?)
Fixed Seasonal Effects
Do not include Seasonal Dummies
Do not include Seasonal Dummies
Include Seasonal Dummies
Type of Equation
No Linear Trend
No Linear Trend
Linear Trend
First Differences
Seasonal Differences (s)
First and Seasonal Differences (s)
Degree of Predetermination (lagged endogenous variables)
Degree of Seasonal Predetermination
Seasonality
12
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Chart options
R Code
library(lattice) library(lmtest) library(car) library(MASS) n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test mywarning <- '' par6 <- as.numeric(par6) if(is.na(par6)) { par6 <- 12 mywarning = 'Warning: you did not specify the seasonality. The seasonal period was set to s = 12.' } par1 <- as.numeric(par1) if(is.na(par1)) { par1 <- 1 mywarning = 'Warning: you did not specify the column number of the endogenous series! The first column was selected by default.' } if (par4=='') par4 <- 0 par4 <- as.numeric(par4) if (!is.numeric(par4)) par4 <- 0 if (par5=='') par5 <- 0 par5 <- as.numeric(par5) if (!is.numeric(par5)) par5 <- 0 x <- na.omit(t(y)) k <- length(x[1,]) n <- length(x[,1]) x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] x <- x1 if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ (n <- n -1) x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,k), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 } if (par3 == 'Seasonal Differences (s)'){ (n <- n - par6) x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,k), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('(1-Bs)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+par6,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 } if (par3 == 'First and Seasonal Differences (s)'){ (n <- n -1) x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,k), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 (n <- n - par6) x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,k), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('(1-Bs)',colnames(x),sep=''))) for (i in 1:n) { for (j in 1:k) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+par6,j] - x[i,j] } } x <- x2 } if(par4 > 0) { x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-par4,par4), dimnames=list(1:(n-par4), paste(colnames(x)[par1],'(t-',1:par4,')',sep=''))) for (i in 1:(n-par4)) { for (j in 1:par4) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+par4-j,par1] } } x <- cbind(x[(par4+1):n,], x2) n <- n - par4 } if(par5 > 0) { x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-par5*par6,par5), dimnames=list(1:(n-par5*par6), paste(colnames(x)[par1],'(t-',1:par5,'s)',sep=''))) for (i in 1:(n-par5*par6)) { for (j in 1:par5) { x2[i,j] <- x[i+par5*par6-j*par6,par1] } } x <- cbind(x[(par5*par6+1):n,], x2) n <- n - par5*par6 } if (par2 == 'Include Seasonal Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,par6-1), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:(par6-1)), sep =''))) for (i in 1:(par6-1)){ x2[seq(i,n,par6),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) for (i in 1:11){ x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) for (i in 1:3){ x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 } x <- cbind(x, x2) } (k <- length(x[n,])) if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' } print(x) (k <- length(x[n,])) head(x) df <- as.data.frame(x) (mylm <- lm(df)) (mysum <- summary(mylm)) if (n > n25) { kp3 <- k + 3 nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) numgqtests <- 0 numsignificant1 <- 0 numsignificant5 <- 0 numsignificant10 <- 0 for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { j <- 0 numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { j <- j + 1 gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value } if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 } gqarr } bitmap(file='test0.png') plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test1.png') plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test2.png') sresid <- studres(mylm) hist(sresid, freq=FALSE, main='Distribution of Studentized Residuals') xfit<-seq(min(sresid),max(sresid),length=40) yfit<-dnorm(xfit) lines(xfit, yfit) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test3.png') densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') dev.off() bitmap(file='test4.png') qqPlot(mylm, main='QQ Plot') grid() dev.off() (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) bitmap(file='test5.png') dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) dum dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] dum1 z <- as.data.frame(dum1) print(z) plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') lines(lowess(z)) abline(lm(z)) grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test6.png') acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test7.png') pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') grid() dev.off() bitmap(file='test8.png') opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') par(opar) dev.off() if (n > n25) { bitmap(file='test9.png') plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') grid() dev.off() } load(file='createtable') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) myeq <- colnames(x)[1] myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') for (i in 1:k){ if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') myeq <- paste(myeq, signif(mysum$coefficients[i,1],6), sep=' ') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') } } myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, myeq) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, mywarning) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares', 6, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:k){ a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,1],5),format='g',flag='+')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,2],5),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4),format='e',flag='+')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,4],4),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,4),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(sqrt(mysum$r.squared),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$r.squared,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$adj.r.squared,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$fstatistic[1],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, signif(mysum$fstatistic[2],6)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a, signif(mysum$fstatistic[3],6)) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$sigma,6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(sum(myerror*myerror),6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab') myr <- as.numeric(mysum$resid) myr a <-table.start() a <- table.row.start(a) a <- table.element(a,'Menu of Residual Diagnostics',2,TRUE) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <- table.element(a,'Description',1,TRUE) a <- table.element(a,'Link',1,TRUE) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Histogram',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_histogram.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Central Tendency',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_centraltendency.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'QQ Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_fitdistrnorm.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Kernel Density Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_density.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Skewness/Kurtosis Test',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_skewness_kurtosis.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Skewness-Kurtosis Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_skewness_kurtosis_plot.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Harrell-Davis Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_harrell_davis.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Bootstrap Plot -- Central Tendency',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_bootstrapplot1.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Blocked Bootstrap Plot -- Central Tendency',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_bootstrapplot.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'(Partial) Autocorrelation Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_autocorrelation.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Spectral Analysis',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_spectrum.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Tukey lambda PPCC Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_tukeylambda.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <-table.element(a,'Box-Cox Normality Plot',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_boxcoxnorm.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a <- table.row.start(a) a <- table.element(a,'Summary Statistics',1,header=TRUE) a <- table.element(a,hyperlink( paste('https://supernova.wessa.net/rwasp_summary1.wasp?convertgetintopost=1&data=',paste(as.character(mysum$resid),sep='',collapse=' '),sep='') ,'Compute','Click here to examine the Residuals.'),1) a <- table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable7.tab') if(n < 200) { a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (i in 1:n) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(x[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(x[i]-mysum$resid[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(mysum$resid[i],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab') if (n > n25) { a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3],6),format='g',flag=' ')) a<-table.row.end(a) } a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant1,6)) a<-table.element(a,formatC(signif(numsignificant1/numgqtests,6),format='g',flag=' ')) if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant5,6)) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant5/numgqtests,6)) if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant10,6)) a<-table.element(a,signif(numsignificant10/numgqtests,6)) if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' a<-table.element(a,dum) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab') } } a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of fitted values',1,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) reset_test_fitted <- resettest(mylm,power=2:3,type='fitted') a<-table.element(a,paste('<pre>',RC.texteval('reset_test_fitted'),'</pre>',sep='')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of regressors',1,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) reset_test_regressors <- resettest(mylm,power=2:3,type='regressor') a<-table.element(a,paste('<pre>',RC.texteval('reset_test_regressors'),'</pre>',sep='')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of principal components',1,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) reset_test_principal_components <- resettest(mylm,power=2:3,type='princomp') a<-table.element(a,paste('<pre>',RC.texteval('reset_test_principal_components'),'</pre>',sep='')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable8.tab') a<-table.start() a<-table.row.start(a) a<-table.element(a,'Variance Inflation Factors (Multicollinearity)',1,TRUE) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.row.start(a) vif <- vif(mylm) a<-table.element(a,paste('<pre>',RC.texteval('vif'),'</pre>',sep='')) a<-table.row.end(a) a<-table.end(a) table.save(a,file='mytable9.tab')
Compute
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Raw Output
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Computing time
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R Server
Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center
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